TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the expected fluctuation of gasoline costs in a specific U.S. state over a single day. It reflects how analysts and the public anticipate immediate changes in fuel pricing influenced by factors like supply logistics, local demand spikes, or unexpected policy shifts. The outcome depends on whether the state's average price crosses predefined thresholds.
The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for Washington’s average regular gas price on October 26, 2026, using data from AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price level, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the recorded average exceeds the exact threshold specified for that market. Thresholds range incrementally from $5.2650 to $5.3450. No market resolves to 'Yes' if the price does not surpass its specific threshold, regardless of performance relative to other thresholds. All markets share the same observation date and data source, ensuring consistency across evaluations.