TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Warren Buffett's wealth by August 2026 will reflect Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio performance and any major transactions he undertakes.
The event resolves based on Warren Buffett's net worth as reported in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index update for August 31, 2026. Five separate thresholds are defined: above $140 billion, above $144 billion, above $148 billion, above $152 billion, and above $156 billion. If his net worth meets or exceeds any of these thresholds on the specified date, the corresponding market resolves to Yes.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may publish their own projections for Warren Buffett’s net worth, the odds here capture a crowdsourced outlook shaped by real-time betting activity. Comparisons between this market and analyst reports may reveal gaps or confirmations, depending on recent financial news and market conditions affecting Buffett’s holdings.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final value will be determined by authoritative financial disclosures or widely accepted public records, ensuring an objective resolution for all participants on Kalshi.
Several signals could influence this market before it settles, including major announcements from Berkshire Hathaway, changes in stock prices of companies in which Buffett holds significant stakes, shifts in global economic conditions, or Buffett’s public statements regarding wealth or investment strategy. Any news that affects perceptions of his overall net worth may cause rapid price movements on Kalshi as traders adjust their positions.