TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?
limitless

Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?

Volume:
$28

4.5%-6%

 - Limitless

4.5%-6% - Limitless

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 8:00 AM EST

limitless

Limitless

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

4.5%-6%

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

6%-7.5%

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

3%-4.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.8¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

<3%

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

7.5%+

N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to Walmart's Q2 Walmart U.S. comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final figure will be based on official Walmart earnings releases and analyst calculations for Q2 US comparable sales growth excluding fuel, eliminating any ambiguity about the result.

Key signals include preliminary sales data leaks, major economic announcements affecting consumer spending, and any unexpected comments from Walmart executives about Q2 performance. Additionally, broader market trends or sector-specific news can shift trader sentiment, especially if they suggest changes to consumer behavior that might impact Walmart’s sales figures before the final results are reported.