TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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# Views of Most Viewed NBC Nightly News Episode This Week (Aug 10-16)
polymarket

# Views of Most Viewed NBC Nightly News Episode This Week (Aug 10-16)

Volume:
$934

6.5m–7m

 - Polymarket

6.5m–7m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 9:49 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

6.5m–7m

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
24¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

8.5m+

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<5.5m

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8m–8.5m

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7m–7.5m

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7.5m–8m

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

6m–6.5m

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5.5m–6m

0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of NBC Nightly News for the Week of August 10 - August 16, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of NBC Nightly News appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).

Polymarket

Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of NBC Nightly News for the Week of August 10 - August 16, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of NBC Nightly News appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market suggests a higher probability of the viewership falling within certain ranges, as indicated by the current odds on Polymarket. While analysts may offer their own projections based on historical trends and news cycles, traders are pricing in real-time information and expectations. The difference between these views can highlight areas where market participants diverge from traditional forecasting models, offering a unique snapshot of crowd-sourced expectations for the most viewed episode this week.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the viewership numbers for the week of August 10 to August 16 are officially reported and verifiable from credible public sources. The final numbers will determine which range — and therefore which set of contracts — pays out, closing the market based on the actual most viewed episode of NBC Nightly News that week.

News coverage surrounding major stories, special broadcasts, or public interest spikes could shift this market as they arise. Factors such as competing television programming, significant events covered by NBC, or changes in viewership patterns due to seasonal trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any surprise announcements or high-profile segments scheduled for the week could cause rapid price adjustments on Polymarket before the market settles.