TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q2
kalshi

Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q2

Volume:
$4,782

Above 8%

 - Kalshi

Above 8% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 11:01 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 8%

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,763
N/A
N/A
$1,047
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 6%

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
$453
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 4%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$49
2mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

Above 10%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,031
N/A
N/A
$1,235
2mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Above 12%

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
$321
2mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Above 14%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$58
2mo 3w 5d
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks Victoria's Secret's performance by measuring how much its comparable sales increase in the second quarter of 2026. Comparable sales growth reflects changes in sales at stores open for at least a year, offering insight into consumer demand and operational efficiency. The outcome depends on whether the reported growth exceeds specific thresholds.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on Victoria's Secret & Co.'s reported total comparable sales growth for Q2 2026, with multiple threshold-based markets determining the outcome. Each market corresponds to a specific growth percentage threshold (4%, 6%, 8%, 10%, 12%, and 14%). If the company reports growth above any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers stating that Kalshi has no official affiliation with Victoria's Secret, and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the precise figure disclosed for Q2 2026 comparable sales growth, with each threshold creating a distinct yes/no outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Victoria's Secret sales growth market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $1,457. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different sales growth outcomes for Victoria's Secret in the upcoming quarter, with all data reflecting activity exclusively on this venue.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectation of all participants. The market uses a log-odds pricing model that translates trader interest into implied probabilities, and volume of $4,782 helps indicate how much capital is actively engaged in positioning around the sales growth question.

This market resolves around Dec 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final sales growth figure will be drawn from Victoria’s Secret parent company quarterly earnings releases and official SEC filings, ensuring an objective and transparent close-out process for all open positions.

Key signals that could shift this market include preliminary sales data leaks, management guidance updates during investor calls, major marketing campaign performance, consumer confidence shifts affecting retail spending, and competitor moves that alter market share dynamics. Any surprise announcement — positive or negative — is likely to cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust expectations for the final reported growth rate.