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Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner
polymarket

Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner

Volume:
$18,398

Phil Scott

 - Polymarket

Phil Scott - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 7:25 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Phil Scott

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1.7¢
N/A
$14,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

John Rodgers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
3.9¢
N/A
$4,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will win the Republican primary election for Vermont Governor. Phil Scott holds the leading position at 97.8% on Polymarket, with John Rodgers at 1.1%. The market will resolve based on the official results announced by the Vermont Republican Party following the primary election. Watch the August 11, 2026 Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont to determine the outcome, including any potential second round or run-off voting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Vermont, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling due to different incentive structures. Markets reward accurate forecasting with financial gain, whereas polls measure stated preferences at a single moment. For the Vermont Republican primary, market participants may incorporate insider knowledge, historical turnout patterns, and campaign momentum that polls lag in capturing. Comparing Polymarket odds to recent polling aggregates reveals whether traders are pricing in factors polls haven't yet reflected, offering a complementary lens to conventional survey data.

The Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner market resolves on Aug 11, 2026, following the official primary election. Resolution is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the Republican primary contest and is officially declared the winner by Vermont election authorities. Once the primary results are certified, the market settles based on the outcome, and traders' positions are finalized according to their predictions.

Key catalysts for Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner odds include candidate announcements, campaign funding disclosures, debate performances, and endorsements from party figures. Shifts in state or national political sentiment, changes in candidate viability, and media coverage of primary dynamics can significantly alter market prices. Polling releases, voter registration trends, and turnout indicators also influence trader expectations. Late-breaking scandals, candidate withdrawals, or unexpected campaign developments may trigger sharp repricing as the primary date approaches and new information becomes available.