TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q1 2026
kalshi

UST par yield curve (10Y) at end of Q1 2026

Volume:
$24,486

Above 4.20%

 - Kalshi

Above 4.20% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Apr 7, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.20%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,320
N/A
N/A
$3,829
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.10%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,134
N/A
N/A
$1,554
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.00%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,775
N/A
N/A
$1,348
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.40%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
$401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.80%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.60%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.90%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.30%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,178
N/A
N/A
$2,319
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.40%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,954
N/A
N/A
$2,935
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.50%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
$671
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.80%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.60%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.70%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.30%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.50%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.70%

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

U.S. Treasury yield rates on 10-year bonds will be measured at the end of the first quarter of 2026, capturing medium-to-long-term market expectations for economic growth and inflation.