TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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USDSEK price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDSEK price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$5,100

Above 9.551

 - Kalshi

Above 9.551 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 9.551

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
$358
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.553

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$387
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.559

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$186
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.565

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
$68
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.555

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.563

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.561

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.569

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.557

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.567

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.621

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.623

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$362
N/A
N/A
$337
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.617

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
$346
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.597

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.619

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.581

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$199
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.573

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$90
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.575

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.609

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$39
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.585

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.571

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.595

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.603

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.607

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.615

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 50

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of the USDSEK exchange rate at a specific future moment. Each market evaluates whether the rate surpasses a particular threshold, allowing participants to speculate on currency strength dynamics.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDSEK exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on September 4, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate exceeds its respective threshold at that time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data rounding assumes four decimal places unless specified otherwise. If Pyth lacks data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying rate do not affect resolution outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for the USDSEK exchange rate. While analysts may incorporate macro models and longer-term trends, traders in this market price in real-time signals and short-term sentiment, sometimes leading to notable differences in implied probabilities.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for the USDSEK level at the specified time. The current implied probability reflects the best available bid-ask spread, adjusted for market depth and recent trading activity on the platform.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final USDSEK price at the exact time specified will determine whether the contract settles as the designated rate level or not, based on transparent, publicly available data sources.

Key signals that could shift this market include central bank announcements, especially from the Federal Reserve or Riksbank, shifts in interest rate expectations, Swedish or U.S. economic data releases, geopolitical developments affecting currency flows, and broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment in global financial markets. Each of these can rapidly change trader sentiment and pricing.