TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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USDNOK price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDNOK price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$1,039

Above 9.307

 - Kalshi

Above 9.307 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 9.307

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 9.333

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.327

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.329

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.331

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.375

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.373

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.379

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.335

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.365

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.371

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.381

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.337

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.383

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.355

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.343

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.361

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.359

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.339

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.341

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.345

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.347

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.349

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.351

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9.353

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This set of markets tracks whether the USD to Norwegian Krone exchange rate will exceed various thresholds at a specific moment. Each market has a different threshold level, allowing participants to speculate on the precise strength of the USD against the NOK at that time.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDNOK exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on September 4, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold: if the rate is above its specified level (ranging from 9.327 to 9.365), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate do not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the USDNOK exchange rate market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $132. This tool shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the potential movement of the currency pair, offering a live view of market sentiment and liquidity through volume of $1,039.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro models and long-term trends, traders act on shorter-term signals and sentiment, which can lead to divergence or alignment depending on recent economic data and market mood.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be checked against reliable financial data sources at the specified time to determine whether the conditions are met.

Several signals could influence this market before Sep 4, 2026. Key economic indicators from either country, such as interest rate decisions or GDP releases, often shift currency values. Political developments, trade data, and global market sentiment also play major roles. Natural disasters or geopolitical tensions may create short-term volatility. Traders will watch these events closely, as each development can change expectations for the USDNOK exchange rate and therefore impact pricing in this market.