TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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USDMXN price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDMXN price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$1,700

Above 17.033

 - Kalshi

Above 17.033 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 17.033

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.005

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.025

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.995

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.957

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.955

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.989

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.959

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.009

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.019

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.015

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.027

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.975

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.013

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.017

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.965

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.967

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.969

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$48
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.029

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.999

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.021

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.023

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.961

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 16.963

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 17.031

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of the USD to MXN exchange rate at a specific future date and time. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the exchange rate will exceed various levels by the expiration moment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDMXN exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on September 4, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate at that time is above the specified level, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate do not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the USDMXN exchange rate market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $977. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around the future value of the USD to MXN exchange rate, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and activity as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds reflect a real-time aggregation of trader beliefs and positions. While analysts may provide long-term economic projections, this market incorporates rapid adjustments based on trading activity, news flow, and shifting investor sentiment, often showing sharper or more volatile expectations than conventional research reports.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate wisdom of market participants. The odds adjust dynamically based on trading volume, recent economic data releases, and shifts in currency pair sentiment, creating a liquid price discovery mechanism unique to Kalshi.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final USDMXN exchange rate will be determined by authoritative financial data sources at the specified time, and the market will settle accordingly based on that verified value.

Key signals that could move this market include major central bank announcements, shifts in interest rate expectations, geopolitical developments affecting currency flows, and releases of critical economic indicators such as inflation data or employment reports. Each of these can rapidly alter trader expectations and shift odds in either direction before Sep 4, 2026.