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406,422

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2,688

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5

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USD/MXN high in June 2026?
kalshi

USD/MXN high in June 2026?

Volume:
$389

18.25 or above

 - Kalshi

18.25 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

18.25 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

17.75 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

18.75 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
kalshi

18.5 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

19 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

18 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether the US Dollar will appreciate against the Mexican Peso to reach any of several specified exchange rate levels before July 1, 2026. The outcome depends on the actual movement of the USD/MXN currency pair in foreign exchange markets during the specified timeframe.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on whether the USD/MXN exchange rate reaches or exceeds specified price levels at any point before July 1, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific exchange rate threshold, with the market resolving Yes if that level is touched or exceeded during the observation period.

Frequently asked questions

The USD/MXN high in June 2026 market resolves on Jul 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by the highest intraday or closing price of USD/MXN recorded during the month of June 2026. If that high reaches or exceeds 18.75, the YES outcome wins; if it remains below 18.75, NO wins. The specific data source and exact timing methodology are defined in the market's official resolution criteria. Traders should review those details before expiration to understand precisely which price feed and timestamp window will be used to settle the contract.

USD/MXN is sensitive to diverging monetary policy between the U.S. Federal Reserve and Banco de México, inflation differentials, and risk sentiment. Key catalysts include Fed rate decisions and forward guidance, Mexican inflation reports, and U.S.–Mexico trade negotiations or tariff announcements. Geopolitical shocks, capital flows, and commodity prices (especially oil, which Mexico exports) can trigger sharp peso moves. Central bank interventions by either authority may also influence the exchange rate trajectory. Economic data surprises—jobs reports, GDP revisions, or credit conditions—can shift expectations about relative growth and interest rates, ultimately determining whether USD/MXN reaches 18.75 by month-end.