TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Financials
USDJPY price on Aug 07 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDJPY price on Aug 07 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$4,672

Above 156.505

 - Kalshi

Above 156.505 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 156.505

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.533

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.559

100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$91
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.565

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.569

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.585

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
$85
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.557

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$73
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.583

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.507

100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.511

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.575

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.509

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.551

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.501

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.579

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.535

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$77
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.521

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.531

100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.627

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.587

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.503

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.523

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.525

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.595

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 156.597

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 100

Description

This set of markets tracks the performance of the USDJPY currency pair at a specific future date and time. Each market will resolve based on whether the exchange rate exceeds a particular threshold, providing a way to assess potential currency movements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDJPY exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5:00 PM EDT on August 7, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate is above the specified level at that time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data do not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate macro models and fundamental data, traders in this market price in real-time reactions to news, economic releases, and shifting risk sentiment, which can lead to notable divergences from consensus estimates.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final USDJPY price at the exact time specified will be the decisive factor, closing all positions based on that snapshot.

Key signals that could shift this market include major economic data releases from Japan or the U.S., central bank policy announcements, geopolitical developments impacting currency flows, and shifts in global risk sentiment. Each of these can cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust positions in anticipation of how the USDJPY rate will respond.