TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of the USDCHF currency pair at a specific moment in time. Each market evaluates whether the exchange rate exceeds a particular threshold, providing insight into potential currency movements.
All markets resolve based on the USDCHF exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on August 28, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate is above its specified level at that time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at exactly 5pm ET, the most recent available value before that time will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate do not affect the resolution.
On Kalshi, this market currently reflects trader sentiment through its probability pricing. Analyst forecasts from major financial institutions can offer a useful comparison point. Professional analysts often examine macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, and currency pair fundamentals when publishing their expectations for the USDCHF exchange rate. Monitoring both the market odds and these expert evaluations allows participants to spot potential mispricings or emerging consensus shifts ahead of Aug 28, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market through their buying and selling activity. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of market participants about where the USDCHF exchange rate will stand at the specified time. Volume of $4,829 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,110 show how much trading interest is focused on this contract. Prices adjust continuously based on new information and positioning.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will learn the result when official market data confirms the USDCHF rate at the specified time, settling all positions accordingly.
Several key developments could influence this market in the coming weeks. Central bank announcements from major economies, especially regarding interest rate decisions or policy shifts, often create significant currency market volatility. Economic data releases — such as inflation figures, employment reports, or GDP updates — can rapidly change expectations about relative currency strength. Geopolitical tensions or sudden market disruptions may also cause short-term swings in the USDCHF exchange rate as traders reassess risk appetites and safe-haven demands.