TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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USDCAD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDCAD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$5,894

Above 1.383

 - Kalshi

Above 1.383 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1.383

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$914
N/A
N/A
$399
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.373

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$419
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.371

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
$415
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.379

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.381

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.377

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.375

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.367

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.369

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.387

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$829
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.385

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$689
N/A
N/A
$558
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.389

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$601
N/A
N/A
$411
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.401

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
$400
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.395

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.393

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.391

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187
N/A
N/A
$171
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.403

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.397

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.399

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.405

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

These markets track potential movements in the USD to CAD exchange rate at a specific future moment. Outcomes depend on whether the rate exceeds various predetermined thresholds, offering insights into currency strength predictions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDCAD exchange rate's opening value at 5pm ET on September 4, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a specific threshold; if the rate is above that threshold at the specified time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth data is unavailable, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the rate do not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may weigh long-term economic indicators, traders on Kalshi price in shorter-term sentiment and news flow. This can create divergence, especially around key events or surprises, making the market odds a complementary — but not always congruent — indicator to expert predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final USDCAD price at the specified time will be the decisive factor, drawn from authoritative financial data sources. Traders should watch for any last-minute shifts in currency markets that could affect the closing value used for settlement.

Key signals that could move this market include major economic announcements, central bank decisions, and shifts in global risk sentiment. Events such as U.S. or Canadian interest rate updates, GDP releases, or geopolitical developments often trigger rapid re-pricing. Traders will also watch oil prices and trade balances, as these can influence the CAD specifically and therefore the pair’s exchange rate.