TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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USDCAD price on Aug 07 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDCAD price on Aug 07 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$8,762

Above 1.391

 - Kalshi

Above 1.391 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1.391

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
$544
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.393

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.383

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.389

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.385

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.387

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
$136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 1.407

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,217
N/A
N/A
$435
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.403

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$426
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.395

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$792
N/A
N/A
$391
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.409

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
$734
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.413

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$630
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.397

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.411

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
$458
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.421

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
$409
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.399

View
0%
72%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$257
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.415

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$195
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.419

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.405

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
$113
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.401

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$168
N/A
N/A
$144
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.417

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$71
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the USD to CAD exchange rate at a specific future moment. Each market examines whether the rate exceeds a particular threshold, offering insights into various possible outcomes for currency valuation.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDCAD exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5:00 PM EDT on August 7, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate is above its specified level (ranging from 1.383 to 1.421), the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate do not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the USDCAD price market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around $8,762 in total volume and $2,821 over the past day, giving you a live view of market sentiment as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, the current odds for the USDCAD price market reflect trader sentiment, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often use fundamental and technical analysis to predict currency movements, while this market incorporates real-time trading activity and sentiment. Traders may react more quickly to short-term news or economic data releases, causing this market's implied probability to shift faster than conventional forecasts. Comparing both sources can provide a broader perspective on market expectations and potential risks.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading, where participants buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the USDCAD exchange rate. The current top outcome represents the collective trader view, with the chance percentage indicating implied probability. Volume of $8,762 and 24-hour volume of $2,821 reflect market activity levels. Traders can place bids or offers at any time, influencing price movements based on new information or shifts in sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final USDCAD price at the specified time will determine which contract settles in value. Traders should monitor major economic releases, central bank announcements, and geopolitical developments that could affect currency valuations leading up to resolution.

Key signals that could move this market include major economic indicators such as U.S. and Canadian employment reports, inflation data, and interest rate decisions from central banks. Geopolitical developments, trade announcements, and shifts in oil prices also heavily influence currency markets. Traders will watch these events closely, as unexpected outcomes can rapidly change expectations for the USDCAD exchange rate and shift this market's odds before Aug 7, 2026.