TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
USDBRL price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDBRL price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$2,010

Above 5.171

 - Kalshi

Above 5.171 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 4, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.171

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$142
N/A
N/A
$65
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.173

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.191

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.187

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.193

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$72
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.175

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.147

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.157

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.143

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.169

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.141

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.167

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$67
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.155

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.153

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.135

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.149

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.151

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.161

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.177

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.145

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.159

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.189

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.163

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.183

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.179

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This set of markets tracks whether the USDBRL exchange rate will exceed various threshold values at a specific future moment. Each market examines a different price level, providing insights into potential currency movements based on real-time data from a trusted source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDBRL exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on September 4, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each individual market has a specific threshold value; if the rate at that exact time is above its respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. All rates are evaluated to four decimal places. If Pyth data is unavailable at 5pm ET, the most recent prior value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate do not affect resolution outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the USDBRL exchange rate market, along with real-time 24-hour volume of $90. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the Sep 4, 2026 settlement, offering a snapshot of market sentiment and activity for this specific financial event.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations for the USDBRL exchange rate. While analysts may incorporate macro models and longer-term trends, traders on Kalshi adjust positions rapidly in response to breaking news, policy signals, and short-term economic data, which can create divergence or alignment with institutional outlooks.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectation for where the USDBRL exchange rate will sit at the exact close time. Market depth and liquidity, represented by volume of $2,010, help shape the spread and overall price discovery for this event.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final USDBRL exchange rate at the specified time will be the decisive factor, closing all positions based on the officially recorded value.

Key signals that could shift this market include Brazilian or U.S. central bank announcements, shifts in commodity prices that affect the Brazilian real, geopolitical developments impacting currency flows, and broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment in global forex markets. Each of these can prompt rapid reassessments among traders on Kalshi, moving implied probabilities closer to or further from current levels.