TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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USDBRL price on Aug 28 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

USDBRL price on Aug 28 at 5:00 PM EDT

Volume:
$2,002

Above 5.137

 - Kalshi

Above 5.137 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.137

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$428
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.139

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.141

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.147

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$49
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.145

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.163

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.165

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.171

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$51
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.169

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.167

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.143

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.175

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.153

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.159

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.173

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.161

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.149

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.155

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.151

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.157

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 20

Description

The markets track the exchange rate between US dollars and Brazilian reais at a specific future moment. Each market checks whether the rate exceeds a particular threshold, allowing participants to speculate on currency value movements.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the opening candlestick value of the USDBRL exchange rate published by Pyth at 5pm ET on August 28, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 5.137 to 5.175, and resolves to 'Yes' if the rate at that time is above its respective threshold, otherwise 'No.' Data rounding assumes four decimal places. If Pyth data is unavailable at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate do not affect resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for short_topic on Kalshi shows current odds, price trends, and $347 24-hour volume. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and market dynamics leading up to the event date. This view helps users monitor how the probability of different outcomes changes over time, reflecting the collective wisdom of participants on Kalshi.

While traditional analysts may issue forecasts based on economic models, this market offers a real-time gauge of crowd-sourced expectations. Traders on Kalshi adjust their positions based on emerging news, policy signals, and market sentiment. Comparing these odds to analyst reports can reveal divergences in outlook, highlighting areas where public traders are more optimistic or pessimistic than established experts.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, prices are set through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate assessment of all traders, with odds adjusting dynamically based on trading volume and new information. This mechanism captures market participants’ collective prediction of where the exchange rate will land.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the final result reflected automatically after the platform confirms the official closing price, allowing all participants to settle their positions based on the actual market close.