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405,232

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30,526

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2,693

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5

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US used cars and trucks CPI for August
kalshi

US used cars and trucks CPI for August

Volume:
$27,550

Above 175

 - Kalshi

Above 175 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 8:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 175

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,438
N/A
N/A
$5,475
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 176

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,970
N/A
N/A
$5,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 178

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,216
N/A
N/A
$3,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 179

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,741
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 180

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
$347
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 177

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 182

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,131
N/A
N/A
$2,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 185

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
$2,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 184

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$1,308
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 183

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
$575
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 181

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$187
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for used cars and trucks measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of used vehicle goods. This index reflects inflation specific to the used vehicle market, influenced by supply and demand dynamics, economic conditions, and policy changes. Tracking this CPI helps gauge economic health and consumer spending trends in the automotive sector.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on whether the U.S. used cars and trucks Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August 2026 exceeds specified threshold values ranging from 175 to 185. All markets utilize the same underlying data source: the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series CUSR0000SETA02, which tracks the seasonally adjusted CPI for used cars and trucks among urban consumers. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold; if the published CPI for the specified month is above the threshold defined for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The resolution hinges solely on the numerical comparison between the actual CPI value and the predetermined threshold for each respective market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the US used vehicles CPI market, along with 24-hour volume of $94. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different inflation outcomes for used cars and trucks in the United States, offering a visual representation of market sentiment and activity over time.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different view than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean toward one direction based on economic models and recent trends, traders in this market are pricing in a slightly varied probability distribution. The gap highlights differences between quantitative models and market-based expectations, making this market valuable for comparing diverse perspectives on used vehicle inflation.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official data is published and verified against credible public sources. The final figure will determine which contract — representing a specific inflation range — settles in value, closing all positions based on the actual economic report.

Key signals include monthly automotive sales reports, consumer price index releases, changes in interest rates, and shifts in supply chain efficiency. Any data surprising market expectations — whether higher-than-anticipated inflation or sudden demand changes — could cause rapid re-pricing. Upcoming economic announcements and trading volume spikes will also influence sentiment leading to settlement.