TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?
polymarket

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

Volume:
$10,629

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

 - Polymarket

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,629
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve if the value of the "[US] Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties" for Q4 2025 is higher than Q3 2025, as defined and reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis via the following source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA Only initial releases of each quarterly value will be used for resolution. Revisions made after the initial Q4 2025 release will not be counted. If all relevant data is not published by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution is based exclusively on the data shown in the chart linked above.