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U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
polymarket

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Volume:
$315,476

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

 - Polymarket

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$315,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Somalia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land in the listed country’s territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify. Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and government sources. This market may remain open until the end of the third day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.