TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US SPR level for the week ending July 24, 2026
kalshi

US SPR level for the week ending July 24, 2026

Volume:
$14,329

Above 304M

 - Kalshi

Above 304M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 10:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 304M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,604
N/A
N/A
$2,075
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 306M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,079
N/A
N/A
$929
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 300M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$772
N/A
N/A
$767
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 302M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 310M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,279
N/A
N/A
$2,940
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 308M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,397
N/A
N/A
$2,109
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 312M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$813
N/A
N/A
$679
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 318M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
$674
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 316M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$625
N/A
N/A
$599
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 314M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
$481
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the level of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve for a specific week in 2026. It reflects how analysts and policymakers monitor oil stockpiles to gauge energy security and market conditions. The outcome depends on official government data released after the week ends.

Kalshi

All markets in this event series resolve based on the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) value reported in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending July 24, 2026. The report is released on Wednesday morning following the stated week-ending date. Each market has a specific threshold: if the SPR value exceeds the designated level (ranging from 300 million to 318 million barrels), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets use the same data source — Table 1 of the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, specifically the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” row under the Current Week column. The thresholds create a tiered structure, allowing participants to assess probabilities across different reserve levels.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the US SPR level market shows current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing expectations for the upcoming week’s strategic petroleum reserve data. With a total volume of $14,329 and 24-hour volume at $3,077, it reflects market interest in this economic indicator. This focused view helps users monitor sentiment and trends specific to the US SPR level market.

Currently, this market’s implied probability—based on trader activity—can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often publish their SPR level predictions through research reports, economic models, or government data interpretations. Traders on Kalshi may react more quickly to new information, causing odds to shift faster than formal forecasts. Comparing the two offers a view of market sentiment versus institutional outlook, highlighting where speculative activity anticipates changes in supply dynamics.

This market resolves around Aug 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official U.S. Energy Information Administration report for the week ending July 24, 2026, will provide the final SPR level figures. Traders will watch for any last-minute data releases or revisions that could affect the settled value before the market closes.

Key signals include weekly EIA SPR reports, unexpected supply disruptions, geopolitical developments affecting oil inventories, and Federal Reserve or Treasury statements on energy policy. Any major shift in crude oil prices or changes to strategic reserve release programs could also influence trader sentiment. Monitoring energy news outlets and official announcements will help anticipate volatility in this market as resolution approaches.