TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
US SPR level for the week ending August 21, 2026
kalshi

US SPR level for the week ending August 21, 2026

Volume:
$25,113

Above 289M

 - Kalshi

Above 289M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 10:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 289M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,404
N/A
N/A
$4,203
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 284M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,509
N/A
N/A
$2,509
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 288M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
$651
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 286M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$566
N/A
N/A
$541
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 287M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
$269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 285M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 295M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,433
N/A
N/A
$2,340
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 297M

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,264
N/A
N/A
$2,264
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 292M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 290M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,658
N/A
N/A
$1,487
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 291M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,526
N/A
N/A
$1,311
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 294M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
$1,350
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 296M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,250
N/A
N/A
$1,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 293M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event tracks the level of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve for a specific week in 2026. It reflects how much oil is stored in emergency reserves, which can be influenced by factors like production levels, imports, and government policies. The outcome depends on whether the reserve exceeds various threshold levels at the end of the week.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) exceeds specified thresholds for the week ending August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, ranging from above 284 million barrels to above 297 million barrels. Resolution is based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report released on Wednesday morning following the week in question. The report’s Table 1, under the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” row and the Current Week column, provides the official SPR value used to assess all markets. If the reported value surpasses a given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and timing, ensuring consistent evaluation across thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate models and long-term trends, traders on Kalshi react quickly to new data, rumors, and inventory reports. This can lead to divergence — for example, the market might price in a sharper move if recent supply disruptions appear, whereas analysts could remain more conservative until their next update cycle.

This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official weekly US SPR level is reported and verifiable from credible public sources. The final number, released by the relevant government agency, will be compared against the market’s defined bins or thresholds to determine which outcome — for example, a level above or below a specific quantity — is correct.

Key signals that could shift this market include unexpected changes in U.S. strategic petroleum reserves releases or emergency draws, shifts in global oil supply dynamics, and energy policy announcements from the administration. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or infrastructure disruptions that affect storage or reporting could cause rapid repricing. Traders will watch weekly inventory reports, refinery status updates, and any official statements closely as Sep 2, 2026 approaches.