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Politics
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by...?
polymarket

US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by...?

Volume:
$66,736

February 28

 - Polymarket

February 28 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 24, 2026

US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

February 28

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,773
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

February 23

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,964
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 2

Description

On February 22nd, 2026, the US mission to Mexico issued a security alert advising US citizens in Jalisco State (among other areas) to shelter in place (see: https://mx.usembassy.gov/security-alert-ongoing-security-operations-u-s-mission-mexico-february-22-2026/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if US citizens throughout the state of Jalisco are no longer advised to shelter in place by the US Government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only the cessation of US government “shelter in place” advice to US citizens throughout the entirety of the State of Jalisco will qualify. Revisions to shelter in place guidance which keep shelter-in-place guidance in place for parts of Jalisco will not count. If the previously referenced alert is revised or replaced with another security alert or other US government guidance that continues US advice to citizens to shelter in place in any part of Jalisco, this will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Shelter in place advice includes any alert or guidance with that explicit wording or equivalent language (i.e. “stay indoors”, etc.). US State Department ‘Do Not Travel’ guidance will not be considered advice to shelter in place. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.