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US new home sales for August
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will the US new home sales figure be for August?

Volume:
$4,735

Above 640,000

 - Kalshi

Above 640,000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 9:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 640,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,038
N/A
N/A
$1,190
1d 17h 31m
Yes
kalshi

Above 660,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$712
N/A
N/A
$690
1d 17h 31m
Yes
kalshi

Above 600,000

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
$368
1d 17h 31m
Yes
kalshi

Above 540,000

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
$498
1d 17h 31m
Yes
kalshi

Above 620,000

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$370
1d 17h 31m
Yes
kalshi

Above 580,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
1d 17h 31m
Yes
kalshi

Above 680,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$62
1d 17h 31m
Yes
kalshi

Above 560,000

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
1d 17h 31m
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of newly constructed home sales in the United States during a specific month, reflecting consumer demand and the health of the housing market. The outcome depends on whether the reported sales figures meet or exceed certain thresholds, providing insight into economic trends and housing industry activity.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for US new home sales reported for August 2026, measured as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) in thousands of homes. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold, ranging from 540,000 to 680,000 homes. If the officially reported figure for August 2026 exceeds any of these thresholds, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds are evaluated independently, meaning a single reported value can satisfy multiple markets if it exceeds their respective thresholds. The resolution depends solely on the final reported SAAR value, with no partial or approximate considerations—only whether the figure is strictly above each defined level.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official figures from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development will determine the result, based on finalized August sales data. Traders should watch for press releases and economic calendars that announce the exact publication time.

Key signals include weekly mortgage application indices, regional housing inventory reports, and any unexpected comments from Federal Reserve officials about interest rate policy. Major economic surprises — such as sudden shifts in building permits or consumer confidence — can also shift expectations. As Oct 1, 2026 approaches, traders will closely monitor pre-release media speculation and draft market reactions to early data snippets.