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$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

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40,178

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4,415

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5

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Kalshi:

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Science and Technology
US job openings in September
kalshi

How many US job openings in September?

Sep 29, 2026, 11:15 AM EST - Nov 10, 2026, 11:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$4,618
Volume 24h:
$1,476
8,102%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$3,941
41%

Above 7.10M

 - Kalshi

Above 7.10M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 10, 2026

Time left: 07d:16h:42m

Will the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for September 2026 be above 7.10M?

58%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 60¢ buys you 167 shares | Odds: 58% Total Payout: $167 | Net Profit: $67 Multiplier: 1.67x | ROI: 67% APY not meaningful 7 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 7.10M

Trade
58%
Yes 60¢No 45¢
5¢
N/A
$1,169
58%
N/A
$812
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Above 7.20M

Trade
40%
Yes 48¢No 61¢
9¢
N/A
$420
2%
73%
$412
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Above 7.25M

Trade
37%
6%
Yes 41¢No 68¢
9¢
N/A
$320
52%
N/A
$210
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Above 7.30M

Trade
36%
1%
Yes 33¢No 74¢
7¢
N/A
$972
36%
4,760%
$970
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Above 7.35M

Trade
32%
Yes 29¢No 80¢
9¢
N/A
$575
1%
2,775%
$575
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Above 7.45M

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 92¢
6¢
N/A
$507
1,167%
1,167%
$507
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Above 7.40M

Trade
12%
Yes 18¢No 88¢
6¢
N/A
$655
44%
1,356%
$455
1w 16h
Active
kalshi

Above 7.15M

Trade
N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 16h
Active
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the level of job openings in the U.S. economy during a specific month, reflecting the demand for labor across various sectors. High job openings can indicate a strong economy with robust hiring needs, while low openings might suggest economic slowdown or a tight labor market. The data provides insight into employment dynamics and economic health.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for September 2026 exceeds specified thresholds, ranging from 7.10 million to 7.45 million. All markets share the same underlying data source: the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), scheduled for release on November 3, 2026. Job openings are measured as of the last business day of September 2026 and reported in thousands, with values converted to millions for market resolution. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold, and resolution depends on whether the reported figure surpasses its respective threshold. The thresholds increase incrementally, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of varying levels of job market activity.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for this market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for US job openings, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $1,466, and the total volume traded to date, which is $4,618. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the number of job openings reported in September, offering insight into market sentiment and expectations.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts regarding the US job openings market. While some analysts predict a continued decline in openings, this market suggests a more nuanced outlook. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information not readily available in standard economic reports. This provides a unique signal that may diverge from, or align with, expert opinions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for US job openings. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current top outcome has a chance percentage of 58.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official US job openings data for September is verifiable from credible public reporting. The data will be sourced from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report. The specific number of job openings reported in that JOLTS release will determine the winning outcome in this market, as defined by the contract closest to the reported figure.

Several key signals could significantly impact this market. Unexpected economic data releases, such as the monthly employment report or changes in the unemployment rate, could shift expectations about the US job openings market. Federal Reserve policy announcements regarding interest rates and quantitative easing could also play a role, influencing business investment and hiring decisions. Geopolitical events or major shifts in consumer confidence could also move this market, as these factors can indirectly affect labor demand and the overall economic outlook.