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US job openings in July
kalshi

What will the US job openings be in July?

Volume:
$4,572

Above 7.20M

 - Kalshi

Above 7.20M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 9:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 7.20M

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,732
N/A
N/A
$1,018
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.25M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$343
N/A
N/A
$343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.35M

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$838
N/A
N/A
$537
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.30M

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$555
N/A
N/A
$357
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.45M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.40M

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$463
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.50M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$112
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the level of job openings in the U.S. economy during July 2026. Job openings reflect the number of positions that employers are attempting to fill, providing insight into labor market demand and economic health. The outcome depends on whether the official government report shows openings above specific thresholds.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of total nonfarm job openings in the United States for July 2026, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) scheduled for release on September 1, 2026. Job openings are measured as of the last business day of July 2026 and reported in thousands, with values converted to millions for market resolution. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 7.20M to 7.50M), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported figure exceeds the respective threshold. The underlying data source and calculation method remain consistent across all markets, ensuring uniform evaluation of outcomes against varying benchmarks.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, sentiment-driven view of expectations for US job openings. While analysts may incorporate a wide range of economic indicators and historical trends, traders in this market react to real-time data, news, and shifts in market sentiment, which can sometimes lead to notable differences in projected values.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of participants. The probability percentages shown are derived from the price of each possible outcome, adjusted for market liquidity and open interest, and can shift rapidly with new economic data or policy announcements.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official government data is released and verified against credible public sources. The final figure will be determined by the official US Bureau of Labor Statistics report for July job openings, and the market will close based on that verified number.

Key signals that could shift this market include monthly nonfarm payrolls releases, revisions to previous months' job opening figures, Federal Reserve policy announcements, major economic shocks, and shifts in hiring trends across key industries. Any unexpected data or events that influence overall labor market conditions are likely to cause rapid price adjustments in the market as traders reassess expectations.