TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 5:59 PM EST
Kalshi
US housing inflation measurements on July 31, 2026, indicate shifts in the real estate market and consumer spending patterns affecting mortgage rates and home values.
Each market resolves to Yes if the Truflation US CPI Housing Inflation Index on July 31, 2026, exceeds a specific threshold, ranging from -0.20% to +0.50% in increments of 0.05 percentage points.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time, crowd-sourced outlook shaped by trader activity. While analysts may publish their expectations based on economic models and historical data, this market reflects the aggregated bets of participants who can react instantly to new information. The gap between these two can highlight areas where traders diverge from established forecasts.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect officially released economic data, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process aligned with the platform’s rules for economic indicators.
Key signals that could shift this market include major economic reports such as housing starts, building permits, and consumer price index releases. Central bank announcements, especially those affecting interest rates, often influence housing demand and inflation expectations. Geopolitical events or sudden policy changes that impact construction materials or mortgage rates may also create volatility.