TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA

Science and Technology

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Name: US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Start: 2025-10-24T14:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-01-30T15:00:00.000Z

Volume:

$3,668,798

Above 1.0%

- Kalshi

Above 1.0% - Kalshi

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Jan 30, 10:00 AM EST

Kalshi

View

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.

Markets

Details

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

Above 1.0%

View

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$316,191

N/A

$234,943

Settled

Yes

Above 1.25%

View

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$193,283

N/A

$163,882

Settled

Yes

Above 0.5%

View

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$140,320

N/A

$124,511

Settled

Yes

Above -0.5%

View

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$106,030

N/A

$96,652

Settled

Yes

Above 0%

View

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$73,638

N/A

$53,055

Settled

Yes

Above 3.5%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$592,171

N/A

$166,309

Settled

Above 3.0%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$517,309

N/A

$171,734

Settled

Above 2.5%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$461,311

N/A

$207,302

Settled

Above 2.0%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$383,820

N/A

$201,604

Settled

Above 1.5%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$330,414

N/A

$192,961

Settled

Above 4%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$209,996

N/A

$107,298

Settled

Above 1.75%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$145,934

N/A

$93,170

Settled

Above 4.5%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$97,168

N/A

$40,576

Settled

Above 5%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$43,088

N/A

$16,140

Settled

Above 6%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$29,301

N/A

$21,181

Settled

Above 5.5%

View

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

—

N/A

$28,824

N/A

$15,949

Settled

Total markets: 16

Description

U.S. real GDP growth will exceed various thresholds during the measured period.

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Fed’s Barr Says Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed to Tame Inflation

Muni Bonds on Track for Worst Monthly Loss Since 1987 on Iran, Inflation

Live updates: Bitcoin in tight range near $84,000 as interest rates continue to worry

Ayub: Long-Term Inflation Unlikely to Sustain Yields

S&P 500 Falls as Inflation Worry Lifts Bond Yields

Stocks Tumble as US-Iran Stalemate Stokes Inflation Concerns

Key US Data This Week Seen Bolstering Case for October Rate Hike

Pimco Sees Value in Australian Bonds as Rate Hikes Overpriced

Japan’s Two-Year Bond Yield Nears 2% as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Mount

Nomura's Wang: US Can Absorb More Rate Hikes

Markets

Details

Above 1.0%

Above 1.25%

Above 0.5%

Above -0.5%

Above 0%

Above 3.5%

Above 3.0%

Above 2.5%

Above 2.0%

Above 1.5%

Above 4%

Above 1.75%

Above 4.5%

Above 5%

Above 6%

Above 5.5%

Description

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

September Unemployment Rate

US recession by end of 2026?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Latest in Economics

Fed’s Barr Says Further Policy Adjustments Likely Needed to Tame Inflation

Muni Bonds on Track for Worst Monthly Loss Since 1987 on Iran, Inflation

Live updates: Bitcoin in tight range near $84,000 as interest rates continue to worry

Ayub: Long-Term Inflation Unlikely to Sustain Yields

S&P 500 Falls as Inflation Worry Lifts Bond Yields

Stocks Tumble as US-Iran Stalemate Stokes Inflation Concerns

Key US Data This Week Seen Bolstering Case for October Rate Hike

Pimco Sees Value in Australian Bonds as Rate Hikes Overpriced

Japan’s Two-Year Bond Yield Nears 2% as BOJ Rate Hike Bets Mount

Nomura's Wang: US Can Absorb More Rate Hikes

Markets.css-1cx51q8{position:absolute;height:2px;bottom:0;width:100%;-webkit-transition:all 300ms cubic-bezier(0.4, 0, 0.2, 1) 0ms;transition:all 300ms cubic-bezier(0.4, 0, 0.2, 1) 0ms;background-color:#0B0C0E;}

Details

Above 1.0%

Above 1.25%

Above 0.5%

Above -0.5%

Above 0%

Above 3.5%

Above 3.0%

Above 2.5%

Above 2.0%

Above 1.5%

Above 4%

Above 1.75%

Above 4.5%

Above 5%

Above 6%

Above 5.5%

Description

Related events

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

September Unemployment Rate

US recession by end of 2026?

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?

Markets