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405,032

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US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
polymarket

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Volume:
$455,385

1.0–1.5%

 - Polymarket

1.0–1.5% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.0–1.5%

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,028
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

>3.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$193,053
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

<1.0%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,195
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

1.5–2.0%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,422
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

3.0–3.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,366
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

2.5–3.0%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,496
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

2.0–2.5%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,825
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.