TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.3b

24H VOL:

$160,757,820

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,798,566,680

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,796,460,506

516,586

Markets across

38,144

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,845

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
US gasoline CPI for October
kalshi

What will US gasoline CPI be?

Oct 15, 2026, 7:50 PM EST - Nov 17, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$40,105
Volume 24h:
$1,335
2%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$26,763
2%

Above 335

 - Kalshi

Above 335 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 17, 2026

Time left: 24d:17h:09m

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 335?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 17% Illiquid market 24 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 335

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$5,169
0%
0%
$3,903
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 340

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4,669
0%
0%
$3,403
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 345

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 6¢
6¢
N/A
$4,886
0%
0%
$3,620
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 350

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 6¢
6¢
N/A
$4,886
0%
0%
$3,620
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 330

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$4,675
0%
0%
$3,430
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 365

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 3¢
3¢
N/A
$1,720
0%
0%
$1,220
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 360

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$1,697
0%
0%
$1,197
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 355

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 2¢
2¢
N/A
$2,452
2%
2%
$1,566
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 370

Trade
92%
1%
Yes 100¢No 8¢
8¢
N/A
$616
10%
10%
$500
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 375

Trade
92%
Yes 96¢No 14¢
10¢
N/A
$120
0%
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 380

Trade
65%
3%
Yes 65¢No 37¢
2¢
N/A
$1,800
33%
629%
$716
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 385

Trade
24%
4%
Yes 21¢No 85¢
6¢
N/A
$6,098
11%
155%
$2,879
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 390

Trade
6%
Yes 8¢No 100¢
8¢
N/A
$891
24%
24%
$301
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 400

Trade
6%
5%
Yes 7¢No 100¢
7¢
N/A
$225
7%
N/A
$209
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 405

Trade
2%
Yes 6¢No 100¢
6¢
N/A
$100
0%
N/A
$100
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 410

Trade
2%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$100
0%
N/A
$100
3w 3d 17h
active
kalshi

Above 395

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3w 3d 17h
active
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks future projections of consumer prices for gasoline across U.S. cities, reflecting anticipated economic pressures on fuel costs. It examines how market participants collectively assess inflationary trends and supply-demand dynamics affecting everyday fuel expenses over the specified period.

Kalshi

All markets in this event evaluate whether the U.S. City Average Consumer Price Index for Gasoline (All Types) in October 2026 exceeds specific threshold values ranging from 330 to 410. The index, published monthly and seasonally adjusted by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series CUSR0000SETB01, serves as the sole data source for resolution. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold; resolution occurs when the published index value for the specified month equals or surpasses its respective threshold, with all markets otherwise resolving to No. The structure allows participants to bet on varying degrees of price increases, effectively creating a spectrum of outcomes based on the same underlying economic indicator.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the US gasoline CPI market tracks the current odds of various price outcomes for October's Consumer Price Index reading related to gasoline. You’ll find a price history chart showing how expectations have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $1,335. The total volume traded to date is $40,105. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within this specific economic indicator.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for US gasoline prices. While some analysts predict a continued decline in gasoline prices due to decreased demand, this market suggests a more nuanced outlook. It's important to note that prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and real-time sentiment, potentially leading to divergences from standard economic projections. This dynamic makes this market a valuable tool for assessing collective intelligence about future gasoline CPI.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different CPI outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective wisdom of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing expectations. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism where the market efficiently incorporates available data and sentiment regarding the future CPI for gasoline.

This market resolves around Nov 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official US gasoline CPI data for October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases this data, and the market will settle based on the reported CPI value. Traders should monitor the BLS release schedule to stay informed about the exact timing of the resolution. The final price will reflect the accuracy of the collective predictions made within this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Unexpected geopolitical events impacting oil supply, major shifts in global demand for gasoline, or surprising changes in refinery capacity could all cause price fluctuations. Additionally, macroeconomic data releases, such as overall inflation figures or employment numbers, could indirectly affect expectations for gasoline prices. Any news related to energy policy or government regulations could also move this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.