TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US gas prices tomorrow?
kalshi

US gas prices tomorrow?

Volume:
$244,222

Above 4.060

 - Kalshi

Above 4.060 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.060

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$40,198
N/A
N/A
$22,426
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.055

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,616
N/A
N/A
$7,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.050

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,224
N/A
N/A
$5,659
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.040

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,476
N/A
N/A
$2,364
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.045

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,889
N/A
N/A
$1,580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.070

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,556
N/A
N/A
$32,395
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.075

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,210
N/A
N/A
$28,098
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.065

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,416
N/A
N/A
$18,682
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.080

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,912
N/A
N/A
$21,877
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.085

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,292
N/A
N/A
$3,752
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.090

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,453
N/A
N/A
$1,812
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.115

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,279
N/A
N/A
$1,453
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.095

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,980
N/A
N/A
$1,316
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,845
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,530
N/A
N/A
$1,501
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.105

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
$1,291
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,051
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the performance of average regular gas prices in the United States on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether these prices exceed certain thresholds, providing insight into potential economic trends and consumer costs at that moment.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold conditions for U.S. average regular gas prices on August 6, 2026, all sourced from AAA data. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, ranging from $4.040 to $4.120. For any given threshold, if the published average price strictly exceeds that value, the associated market resolves positively (Yes). The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of prices reaching various levels, effectively creating a ladder of increasingly stringent conditions. All markets share the same observation date and data source, ensuring consistency across evaluations. The resolution hinges solely on the numerical comparison between the actual AAA-reported price and each specified threshold, with no additional qualifying factors.