TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US gas prices tomorrow?
kalshi

US gas prices tomorrow?

Volume:
$183,743

Above 4.095

 - Kalshi

Above 4.095 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.095

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,554
N/A
N/A
$11,315
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.100

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,195
N/A
N/A
$11,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.090

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,463
N/A
N/A
$7,582
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.085

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,196
N/A
N/A
$5,099
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.065

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,820
N/A
N/A
$1,780
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.075

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,768
N/A
N/A
$1,422
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.070

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,356
N/A
N/A
$1,229
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.080

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,080
N/A
N/A
$1,080
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.105

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,664
N/A
N/A
$22,613
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,289
N/A
N/A
$19,076
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.115

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,448
N/A
N/A
$16,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.145

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,222
N/A
N/A
$5,214
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,421
N/A
N/A
$3,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.135

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,900
N/A
N/A
$4,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.125

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,579
N/A
N/A
$2,954
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.140

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,876
N/A
N/A
$2,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,913
N/A
N/A
$1,773
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the performance of US average regular gas prices on a specific future date. It reflects how market participants anticipate fuel cost trends based on economic indicators, supply-demand dynamics, and geopolitical factors influencing the oil and gas sector. The outcome depends on whether these prices exceed certain thresholds set for August 1, 2026.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the average regular gas price in the United States on August 1, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from $4.065 to $4.145. If the actual average price exceeds a market's specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same resolution date and data source, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The structure allows participants to bet on various price levels, providing granular insight into expected price movements.