TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether average regular gasoline prices in the United States will exceed a specific threshold on June 11, 2026, as reported by AAA. The resolution depends on the actual price data from that date, with the market designed to capture outcomes across a range of possible price levels.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets aggregate real-time trader conviction, while analysts publish periodic reports. Traders on Kalshi incorporate breaking news, supply disruptions, geopolitical events, and inventory data faster than formal analyst updates. By comparing Kalshi odds to consensus economist views or energy sector analyst reports, you can identify where the market is pricing in risks that traditional forecasters may have missed or underweighted for tomorrow's gas prices.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, US gas prices tomorrow is priced through a binary or range-based contract where traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief about the outcome. The price of each share fluctuates between 0 and 100 cents based on supply and demand from other traders. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in that outcome. Kalshi's order book displays bids and asks in real time, allowing you to execute trades at current market rates or place limit orders to trade at your preferred price level.
The US gas prices tomorrow market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. At that time, the actual outcome will be determined and compared against the contract terms. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the underlying data is confirmed, ensuring all traders receive payouts fairly and transparently based on the final result.
Several catalysts can shift US gas prices tomorrow and move market odds on Kalshi. Watch for API and EIA inventory reports, OPEC production announcements, refinery outages or maintenance schedules, geopolitical tensions affecting supply routes, weather forecasts impacting demand, and Federal Reserve policy signals affecting the broader economy. Unexpected supply disruptions, hurricane warnings, or major pipeline incidents can trigger sharp price swings. Traders monitor these signals closely, so any breaking news will likely be reflected immediately in Kalshi odds and trading volume.