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US gas prices tomorrow?
kalshi

US gas prices tomorrow?

Volume:
$97,013

Above 3.785

 - Kalshi

Above 3.785 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 11:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.785

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,789
N/A
N/A
$9,491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.755

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,630
N/A
N/A
$4,630
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.775

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,674
N/A
N/A
$1,744
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.780

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,320
N/A
N/A
$1,894
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.765

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,505
N/A
N/A
$1,465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.770

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,360
N/A
N/A
$1,245
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.760

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
$525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.790

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,366
N/A
N/A
$17,060
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.795

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,078
N/A
N/A
$11,402
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.800

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,537
N/A
N/A
$8,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.805

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,136
N/A
N/A
$2,907
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.810

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,244
N/A
N/A
$1,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.825

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,458
N/A
N/A
$1,258
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.815

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,446
N/A
N/A
$916
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.820

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$673
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.830

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 3.835

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

These markets track the average price of regular gasoline across the United States on July 7, 2026, as reported by the American Automobile Association (AAA). Each market corresponds to a specific price threshold, allowing traders to bet on whether gas prices will exceed that particular level on the specified date.

Kalshi

This event series establishes a range of price thresholds for regular gasoline in the United States, spanning from $3.755 to $3.835 per gallon in $0.005 increments. Each individual market within the event resolves affirmatively if the average regular gas price reported by AAA for July 7, 2026 is strictly greater than its designated threshold price. The resolution data source is exclusively AAA's official average regular gas price reporting for the United States on that date. Traders can use these granular price levels to express precise predictions about gas price movements, with each threshold representing a distinct market outcome. All markets use the same resolution criteria and data source, differing only in their specific price points.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the US gas prices market on Kalshi displays real-time odds and historical price movements as traders position themselves on tomorrow's fuel costs. You can monitor the collective sentiment of market participants through live odds updates, review trading volume of $97,013 across the event lifecycle, and track 24-hour activity to gauge momentum. This snapshot helps you understand how the prediction market is pricing near-term energy volatility and whether consensus is shifting as new data emerges.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than single-point estimates. While energy analysts may publish range-based or conditional price targets, this market aggregates the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Comparing the implied probability here to published forecasts from energy economists or government agencies can reveal where the market is pricing in tail risks or consensus blind spots that conventional models may miss.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to specific price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the current liquidity and disagreement among participants about tomorrow's gas prices. As new information surfaces—supply disruptions, demand shifts, or macroeconomic moves—traders adjust their positions, and the market price updates in real time to reflect the latest consensus.

This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources documenting actual US gas prices for the specified period. The resolution hinges on verifiable data rather than subjective interpretation, ensuring all traders face the same factual benchmark. Once the event window closes and prices are finalized, the market settles and winnings are distributed to those who correctly predicted the direction or range.

Major catalysts include OPEC production announcements, refinery outages or maintenance schedules, geopolitical tensions affecting oil supply, and US inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration. Seasonal demand shifts, hurricane forecasts affecting Gulf Coast operations, and broader crude oil price swings also drive trader positioning. Unexpected policy changes or economic data that signal demand weakness or strength can trigger sharp repricing as participants reassess probabilities before the market closes.