TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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US gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

US gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$626,799

Above 4.2450

 - Kalshi

Above 4.2450 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.2450

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,957
N/A
N/A
$29,221
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.2600

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,239
N/A
N/A
$22,440
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.2500

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,638
N/A
N/A
$18,590
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.2400

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,816
N/A
N/A
$17,148
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.2550

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,823
N/A
N/A
$10,586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.2700

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160,939
N/A
N/A
$72,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.2650

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,484
N/A
N/A
$30,686
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3200

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,603
N/A
N/A
$33,126
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.2750

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,784
N/A
N/A
$25,303
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3050

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,359
N/A
N/A
$19,672
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.2800

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,120
N/A
N/A
$19,143
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.2850

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,786
N/A
N/A
$6,563
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,499
N/A
N/A
$5,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3150

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,058
N/A
N/A
$6,058
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.2900

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,911
N/A
N/A
$4,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.2950

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,545
N/A
N/A
$4,984
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,236
N/A
N/A
$5,236
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the performance of average regular gas prices in the United States on a specific future date. It provides a snapshot of consumer fuel cost levels at a particular moment, reflecting broader economic and supply-demand dynamics. The outcome depends on whether prices cross predefined thresholds, offering insight into short-term energy market conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple threshold-based outcomes for U.S. average regular gas prices on October 21, 2026, using data from AAA. Each market corresponds to a distinct price level, and the resolution hinges on whether the actual average price exceeds that specific threshold. If the price is strictly greater than the stated level for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets share the same observation source and date, ensuring consistency across evaluations. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of prices reaching various points on a continuum, effectively creating a ladder of potential outcomes based on the same underlying data point.