TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Economics
US gas prices tomorrow
kalshi

US gas prices tomorrow

Volume:
$325,249

Above 4.3000

 - Kalshi

Above 4.3000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.3000

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,361
N/A
N/A
$14,264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3250

100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,303
N/A
N/A
$12,217
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.2950

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,303
N/A
N/A
$9,604
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3200

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,748
N/A
N/A
$7,746
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3100

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,006
N/A
N/A
$6,072
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3050

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,634
N/A
N/A
$3,634
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3150

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,606
N/A
N/A
$3,957
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.3350

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$82,755
N/A
N/A
$42,622
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3300

0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,196
N/A
N/A
$37,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3400

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,635
N/A
N/A
$19,271
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3450

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,314
N/A
N/A
$11,914
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3500

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,925
N/A
N/A
$6,659
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3600

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,314
N/A
N/A
$6,184
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3550

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,104
N/A
N/A
$5,659
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3650

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,233
N/A
N/A
$3,986
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3750

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
$2,564
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.3700

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,248
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This event tracks the performance of US regular gas prices on a specific future date. It provides a snapshot of consumer fuel cost expectations at a precise moment, reflecting potential influences like supply chain dynamics, geopolitical events, or policy changes. The outcome depends solely on the recorded average price from a trusted source.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in the United States on October 16, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from $4.2950 to $4.3750. If the recorded price exceeds a market's specific threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are evaluated strictly greater, meaning prices equal to the threshold resolve as No. The resolution depends entirely on the single day's AAA-reported average, with no adjustments for inflation, regional variations, or subsequent data revisions.