TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of US regular gas prices on a specific future date. The outcome depends on whether the national average price meets or exceeds certain thresholds, providing insight into potential fuel cost trends. It reflects expectations about economic factors influencing gasoline pricing.
All markets resolve based on the average regular gas price in the United States on November 1, 2026, as reported by AAA. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from $4.1450 to $4.2250. If the actual average price is strictly greater than a market's specified threshold, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The structure allows participants to assess probabilities across a spectrum of possible price levels, with higher thresholds representing increasingly optimistic forecasts about price increases. All outcomes are determined solely by the AAA data for that exact date, with no adjustments or interpretations applied.