TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

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$126,324,530

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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US gas prices on May 29, 2026
kalshi

US gas prices on May 29, 2026

Volume:
$242,429

Above 4.375

 - Kalshi

Above 4.375 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 28, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.375

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29,053
N/A
N/A
$26,874
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.390

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,216
N/A
N/A
$15,519
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.380

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,044
N/A
N/A
$24,650
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.385

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,280
N/A
N/A
$14,633
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.370

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,598
N/A
N/A
$18,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.365

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,983
N/A
N/A
$6,565
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.395

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,677
N/A
N/A
$13,245
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.405

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,223
N/A
N/A
$10,917
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,099
N/A
N/A
$9,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.420

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,093
N/A
N/A
$10,182
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.410

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,022
N/A
N/A
$8,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.445

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,474
N/A
N/A
$8,208
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.430

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,360
N/A
N/A
$8,304
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.415

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,821
N/A
N/A
$4,818
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.425

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,303
N/A
N/A
$5,302
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.435

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,112
N/A
N/A
$4,945
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.440

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,914
N/A
N/A
$4,885
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.450

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
$158
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether the average price of regular gasoline across the United States will exceed $4.370 on a specific date. The leading outcome, that prices will be above this threshold, currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by AAA's official report of average regular gas prices for May 29, 2026. Watch AAA's gas price announcement on May 29, 2026, as that date will provide the definitive settlement data.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the US gas prices on May 29, 2026 event on Kalshi. You can monitor the current probability of each outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $229,955 USD. The dashboard updates live as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the collective forecast of market participants. This single-venue view lets you see how sentiment around US gas prices shifts as new economic data, energy reports, and geopolitical developments emerge leading up to the May 29, 2026 resolution date.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While energy analysts and government agencies publish price projections based on supply-demand models and historical trends, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment from thousands of participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing Kalshi odds to consensus forecasts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration or major investment banks can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than experts currently expect for US gas prices by May 29, 2026.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the US gas prices on May 29, 2026 market is structured as binary or range-based contracts tied to the national average retail gasoline price on that date. Traders buy and sell shares representing different price brackets, with each contract settling based on the official closing price reported by the Energy Information Administration. The market price reflects the aggregate belief of Kalshi participants about where pump prices will land, with higher odds assigned to outcomes traders view as more likely given current crude oil trends, refinery capacity, seasonal demand, and policy developments.

Several factors could shift Kalshi odds for US gas prices by May 29, 2026. Crude oil price movements, OPEC production decisions, and geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions directly influence pump prices. Seasonal demand patterns, refinery maintenance schedules, and hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico affect supply. U.S. monetary policy, inflation data, and economic growth forecasts impact consumer demand and overall energy costs. Regulatory changes, renewable energy adoption rates, and strategic petroleum reserve releases also play roles. Traders monitor energy reports, Federal Reserve statements, and global news to adjust positions as new information emerges.