TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Economics
US gas prices on Jun 1, 2026
kalshi

US gas prices on Jun 1, 2026

Volume:
$3,203

Above 4.320

 - Kalshi

Above 4.320 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.320?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 67¢ buys you 149 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $149 | Net Profit: $49 Multiplier: 1.49x | ROI: 49% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4.320

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
7¢
N/A
$1,610
0%
N/A
$1,604
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.310

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
5¢
N/A
$433
0%
N/A
$415
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.315

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
8¢
N/A
$10
0%
N/A
$10
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.300

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3¢
N/A
$1
0%
N/A
$1
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.340

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
6¢
N/A
$751
0%
N/A
$751
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.335

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
14¢
N/A
$215
0%
N/A
$215
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.330

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
8¢
N/A
$113
0%
N/A
$112
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.325

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
7¢
N/A
$70
0%
N/A
$52
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.280

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.285

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.290

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.295

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
kalshi

Above 4.305

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks whether average regular gasoline prices across the United States will exceed a specific threshold on June 1, 2026, as reported by the American Automobile Association (AAA). The outcome depends on actual market conditions and fuel pricing data on that date.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the US gas prices on Jun 1, 2026 event on Kalshi. You can monitor the current implied probability of each outcome, view historical price movements, and observe 24-hour trading volume of $3,185. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's evolving consensus on where US gas prices will settle on the resolution date. This live data helps you gauge market sentiment and identify trading opportunities before Jun 1, 2026.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, US gas prices on Jun 1, 2026 are priced as binary or range-based contracts reflecting where the national average gas price will close on that date. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing implied probability. The market price reflects collective expectations about crude oil trends, refinery capacity, seasonal demand, and policy changes. As new information emerges—OPEC decisions, inventory reports, or geopolitical developments—the contract price adjusts to balance buyer and seller interest.

The US gas prices on Jun 1, 2026 market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official closing price of the national average retail gasoline price on that date, typically sourced from the U.S. Energy Information Administration or equivalent authoritative data. The exact methodology and price reference point are specified in the market's terms. Once the official figure is published and verified, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on which outcome bracket the final price fell into.

Major catalysts for US gas prices on Jun 1, 2026 include OPEC production decisions, geopolitical tensions affecting Middle Eastern oil supply, US crude inventory reports, refinery outages or maintenance, seasonal demand shifts, and Federal Reserve policy affecting the dollar and inflation expectations. Hurricane season activity in the Gulf of Mexico, international sanctions, and renewable energy adoption rates also influence crude and refined product markets. Economic recessions or growth surprises can shift demand forecasts significantly. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions ahead of resolution.