TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 8/14
kalshi

US flight cancellations for the week ending at 5pm EDT on 8/14

Volume:
$2,796

Above 1,000

 - Kalshi

Above 1,000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 4:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 2,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3,000

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5,000

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$806
N/A
N/A
$600
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8,000

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
$622
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 10,000

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 6,000

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$183
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 9,000

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
$297
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7,000

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
$55
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets assess the likelihood of significant flight disruption in the United States during a specific week, measured by the total number of cancellations across all flights within, into, or out of the country. The outcomes depend on whether cancellation thresholds are surpassed, reflecting potential impacts from events like severe weather, technical issues, or air traffic disruptions.

Kalshi

All markets in this event are structured around thresholds for total flight cancellations within, into, or out of the United States for the week ending August 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific cancellation threshold—ranging from above 1,000 to above 10,000—and resolves to 'Yes' if the observed total cancellations exceed the respective threshold. The determining data point is the 'Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States this week' figure displayed on FlightAware’s live weekly delay and cancellation page, as verified by the Exchange at 5pm EDT on August 14, 2026. All markets share identical data sources and observation times, ensuring consistency in measurement. Importantly, FlightAware has not endorsed these markets, and references to FlightAware are strictly descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the US flight cancellations market tracks real-time odds and price history for whether weekly flight cancellations will exceed a set threshold. It also shows 24-hour volume of $1,639 to reflect trader interest. This view lets participants monitor how market expectations shift as new data emerges, focusing solely on Kalshi's unique liquidity and pricing dynamics.

This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of cancellations for the specified week will settle the contract based on officially published transportation data, closing all positions at that point.

This market could shift in response to weather alerts, airline maintenance schedules, fuel price spikes, or geopolitical developments affecting air travel. Any news that suggests a meaningful change in flight operability for the week may cause rapid re-pricing, especially when major carriers issue service updates or federal aviation authorities announce new regulations.