TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US existing home sales for May
kalshi

US existing home sales for May

Volume:
$7,191

Above 3.70M

 - Kalshi

Above 3.70M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 9:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 3.70M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.00M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,181
N/A
N/A
$1,884
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.80M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$533
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.10M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$506
N/A
N/A
$366
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 3.90M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$361
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.40M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$659
N/A
N/A
$408
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.20M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
$274
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 4.30M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks whether US existing home sales for May 2026 will exceed 3.70 million homes on a seasonally adjusted annual rate basis. On Kalshi, the probability that sales will surpass this threshold stands at 90.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official US existing home sales data for May 2026, as measured by the seasonally adjusted annual rate in millions of homes. Watch for the release of the May 2026 existing home sales report on or around June 16, 2026, which will settle this contract.

Frequently asked questions

The US existing home sales for May dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for whether existing home sales will exceed 3.70 million units. The interface displays the current probability estimate, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume to help you monitor how the market is pricing this economic indicator. Total group volume across all tracked venues stands at $7,191, with $1,087 traded in the last 24 hours, reflecting active interest in this May housing data release.

The US existing home sales for May market on Kalshi is scheduled to resolve on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution hinges on the official existing home sales figure released by the National Association of Realtors for May, which will be compared against the 3.70 million unit threshold specified in the contract. Once the data is published and verified, the market will settle based on whether actual sales met or exceeded that benchmark.

Several factors could shift odds for US existing home sales in May. Changes in mortgage interest rates, Federal Reserve policy signals, and employment data all influence buyer demand and inventory levels. Economic reports on consumer confidence, inflation, and home prices may reshape expectations about transaction volumes. Additionally, seasonal housing market trends, regional real estate developments, and any unexpected economic shocks could prompt traders to reassess the probability of exceeding the 3.70 million unit threshold before the official May sales data is released.