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US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on September 21?
polymarket

US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on September 21?

Volume:
$5

US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on September 21?

 - Polymarket

US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on September 21? - Polymarket

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Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 7:02 PM EST

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US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on September 21?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including September 21, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on September 21, 2026, or if September 21, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FCHF. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including September 21, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on September 21, 2026, or if September 21, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FCHF. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the USD/CHF exchange rate tracks the current implied probability of the exchange rate being higher or lower on Sep 21, 2026. You'll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $5. The total volume traded in this market is $5. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and participation levels regarding the future direction of the USD/CHF exchange rate. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a strong expectation for a specific outcome regarding the USD/CHF exchange rate. It’s interesting to compare this to traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on economic indicators and modeling. However, prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information, including sentiment and unforeseen events, potentially leading to different conclusions. While analyst forecasts provide valuable insights, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders actively putting capital at risk based on their beliefs about the future direction of the exchange rate.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether the USD/CHF exchange rate will be up or down on Sep 21, 2026. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity are determined by the volume of shares traded, which currently stands at $5.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official exchange rate reported at a specific time on that date. The market will determine whether the USD/CHF exchange rate was higher or lower at that point in time, effectively settling the predictions made by traders. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available data.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Sep 21, 2026. Major economic releases from the United States or Switzerland, such as interest rate decisions or inflation data, are likely to cause volatility. Geopolitical events and shifts in global risk sentiment could also impact the USD/CHF exchange rate. Unexpected news regarding monetary policy from the Federal Reserve or the Swiss National Bank would be particularly noteworthy. Any significant changes in these areas could lead to a reassessment of the probabilities reflected in this market.