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400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on August 24?
kalshi
polymarket

US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on August 24?

Volume:
$4,213

Above 0.799

 - Kalshi

Above 0.799 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0.799

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,203
N/A
N/A
$803
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.787

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,017
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.801

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
$310
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.797

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.795

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.791

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.793

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$82
N/A
N/A
$82
Settled
Yes
polymarket

US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) Up or Down on August 24?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.807

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.809

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.803

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
$108
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.811

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.813

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.815

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.805

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.789

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.817

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.819

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.821

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.823

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.825

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group tracks whether the USD/CHF exchange rate will be higher or lower on August 24, 2026, compared to a reference day. The outcome depends on specific price thresholds and reference mechanisms defined by each platform.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets use different dates, times, and price thresholds to determine resolution, creating a high risk of divergent outcomes.Hero tip: Traders should carefully review the specific resolution rules for each platform, as the differing criteria (date, time, and threshold) can lead to conflicting results. Consider hedging positions if trading on both platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Pyth's closing price at 4:59 PM ET on August 24, 2026, compared to the prior reference day's closing price. If equal, resolves 50-50. Uses Pyth data as the source.
  • Kalshi: Resolves if the USDCHF opening candlestick is above a specific threshold (0.787 to 0.825) at 5pm ET on August 21, 2026. Uses a series of threshold-based conditions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) on August 24, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including August 24, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on August 24, 2026, or if August 24, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / Swiss Franc (USD/CHF) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FCHF. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the USDCHF exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5:00 PM EDT on August 21, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each individual market has a unique threshold; if the rate at that time is above the specified level, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Data is rounded to four decimal places. If Pyth does not publish data at the exact time, the most recent available value is used. Post-expiration revisions to the underlying data do not affect the resolution.