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US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on August 3?
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US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on August 3?

Volume:
$40

US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on August 3?

 - Polymarket

US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on August 3? - Polymarket

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Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 7:05 PM EST

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US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on August 3?

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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$40
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Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) on August 3, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including August 3, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on August 3, 2026, or if August 3, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FZAR. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) on August 3, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including August 3, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on August 3, 2026, or if August 3, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FZAR. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the USD/ZAR exchange rate market on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $40. It shows how traders on Polymarket are positioning around the movement of the USD/ZAR pair, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity. This view helps users monitor shifts in expectations for the currency pair as the resolution date approaches.

Currently, odds from this market suggest a strong bias toward one direction, reflecting trader expectations for the USD/ZAR pair by Aug 3, 2026. These odds can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which may emphasize different economic indicators or time horizons. Comparing the two offers a contrast between crowdsourced market predictions and institutional research views, helping investors spot potential mispricings or consensus shifts.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will depend on the official USD/ZAR exchange rate at the specified time, reflecting macro-economic data, central bank actions, and market sentiment prevailing in the final days leading up to that moment.

Key signals include major South African or U.S. economic announcements, shifts in interest rate expectations, geopolitical developments affecting currency flows, and changes in commodity prices that influence the Rand. Traders will also watch for unexpected policy moves or global risk sentiment swings, all of which can rapidly alter expectations and push pricing in this market closer to Aug 3, 2026.