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$134.2b

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2,388,728,490

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

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2,681

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US crude oil inventories for the week ending August 28, 2026
kalshi

US crude oil inventories for the week ending August 28, 2026

Volume:
$0

Above 423 million barrels

 - Kalshi

Above 423 million barrels - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 10:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 423 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 424 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 425 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 426 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 427 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 428 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 429 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 430 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 431 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 432 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 433 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 434 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 435 million barrels

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

These markets track U.S. commercial crude oil inventory levels reported by the Energy Information Administration for a specific week. The outcome depends on whether inventory figures exceed various threshold values, reflecting supply and demand dynamics in the oil market.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) first publication of U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending August 28, 2026, excluding oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Each market has a specific threshold in millions of barrels; if the reported inventory level is strictly above that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. The EIA reports inventory levels in thousand barrels, which are directly converted to millions for comparison. Only the initial EIA report counts—subsequent revisions do not alter the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the US crude oil inventory market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $0. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various inventory outcomes for the week ending August 28, 2026, with updates reflecting market sentiment and recent data releases.

Currently, this market suggests a different outlook than many analyst forecasts, which can be useful for identifying potential mispricings or emerging trends. While analysts may rely on models and historical patterns, traders in this market incorporate real-time data, sentiment, and expectations about future supply-demand dynamics, often leading to divergent views.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting collective expectations about U.S. crude oil inventories for the week ending August 28, 2026. The market price adjusts dynamically based on new information, trading volume of $0, and shifts in trader sentiment leading up to resolution.

This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final inventory figure for the week ending August 28, 2026, will determine which side wins, based on official data releases from recognized sources.

Key signals that could move this market include weekly U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports, geopolitical developments affecting supply or demand, changes in refinery activity, and unexpected storage disruptions. Any data surprises or shifts in global oil flows may cause rapid repricing as traders adjust expectations ahead of the final resolution.