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US Challenger job cuts in August
kalshi

What will the severity of US Challenger job cuts be in August?

Volume:
$1,487

Above 40,000

 - Kalshi

Above 40,000 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 3, 5:29 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 40,000

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 50,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
$296
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10,000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 60,000

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$509
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90,000

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$127
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80,000

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
$141
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 70,000

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 20,000

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 30,000

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the severity of job cuts reported by the US Challenger firm for August 2026. Higher thresholds represent increasingly significant layoffs across American businesses during that month.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if Trading Economics reports US Challenger job cuts for August 2026 exceeding any of the specified thresholds: 10,000, 20,000, 30,000, 40,000, 50,000, 60,000, 70,000, 80,000, or 90,000. The outcome depends on whether the reported figure surpasses the lowest threshold met, with higher thresholds acting as progressively stricter conditions. The market settles based on the actual reported number relative to these incremental benchmarks.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the US Challenger job cuts market shows real-time odds and price history on Kalshi, along with 24-hour volume of $1,305. It offers a snapshot of trader sentiment and market activity for this specific economic indicator, allowing users to monitor how expectations for US Challenger-reported layoffs evolve over time.

Currently, this market reflects a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean on economic indicators and historical trends, traders are pricing in a range of possible outcomes based on recent data and forward-looking expectations. The gap between these views can highlight areas where market participants diverge from established economic predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the official US Challenger report for August, providing a clear, data-driven conclusion to the market’s predictions.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 10, 2026. Key economic reports—such as monthly jobs data, unemployment claims, and revision announcements—will heavily influence expectations. Surprise policy moves or geopolitical developments may also impact trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting sector-specific trends, combined with analyst forecasts, often drives short-term price swings in this market.