TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
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Politics
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
polymarket

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

Volume:
$8,380,549

April 30

 - Polymarket

April 30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 5, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

April 30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,284,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

June 30

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

March 31

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.