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402,751

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US airline fares CPI for August
kalshi

What will the US airline fares CPI be for August?

Volume:
$1,743

Above 320

 - Kalshi

Above 320 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 8:29 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 320

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$527
N/A
N/A
$527
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 316

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$375
N/A
N/A
$375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 310

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 318

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 312

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 314

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
$95
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 322

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 326

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 332

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 324

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 328

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 330

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 334

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 336

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event tracks changes in the cost of airline travel for average U.S. consumers over a specific month. It reflects how economic factors and industry conditions influence travel expenses, providing insight into broader inflation trends within the transportation sector.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in the U.S. City Average for August 2026 exceeds various threshold values ranging from 310 to 336. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold, and the outcome for each market is determined by comparing the published, seasonally adjusted index value to its respective threshold. If the index value for the specified month is above the threshold defined for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets rely on the same official data source, the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) series CUSR0000SETG01, which is released monthly and provides a consistent, standardized measure of airline fare inflation for the designated period.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the US airline fares CPI market, along with 24-hour volume of $150. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the probability of different outcomes for August's consumer price index changes in U.S. airline fares. The display updates in real time to reflect market activity and gives you a snapshot of investor sentiment toward this economic indicator.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their bids and offers. The displayed probability reflects the best available bid and ask prices, adjusted for supply and demand dynamics. As new economic data, industry reports, or fare announcements emerge, participants revise their positions, causing the market price to shift accordingly. Volume of $1,743 indicates liquidity and interest levels among participants.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final value will be determined by the official release of the US airline fares Consumer Price Index data, which is then checked against widely accepted economic sources.

Key signals include upcoming inflation reports, Federal Reserve policy announcements, and any major disruptions in the airline industry such as fuel price spikes or regulatory changes. These developments can shift trader expectations and move this market significantly before Sep 18, 2026, especially if they suggest a change in consumer travel costs.