What is Urban Outfitters' credit card spend growth in August?

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the Carbon Arc Urban Outfitters Monthly Credit Card Spend index for August 2026, with each market corresponding to a specific numerical threshold. The outcome for each market is determined by whether the reported index value exceeds its respective threshold—96, 98, 100, 102, 104, 106, 108, 110, or 112. The index measures year-over-year changes in U.S. store visits, where a value of 100 indicates equal spending to the same month last year, values above 100 indicate growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. All markets settle based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement do not affect the outcome. The index is derived from mobile location data across over 200 million devices, matched to the same calendar days as the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays, with daily updates as new data becomes available.