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United Airlines Credit Card Spend in August
kalshi

United Airlines Credit Card Spend in August

Volume:
$11,929

Above 104

 - Kalshi

Above 104 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 12:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,888
N/A
N/A
$2,807
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 101.5

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,956
N/A
N/A
$1,956
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 106.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,180
N/A
N/A
$1,728
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 109

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
$405
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks projected consumer spending patterns for United Airlines through credit card transactions in a specific future month. It uses an index comparing current spending to the same month in the previous year, with different thresholds representing varying degrees of growth. The outcomes reflect whether spending exceeds certain growth levels compared to the prior year.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc United Airlines Credit Card Spend index for August 2026, which measures year-over-year changes in U.S. credit and debit card transactions specifically tied to United Airlines. The index compares August 2026 spending to August 2025, with 100 representing equal spending. Values above 100 indicate growth relative to the prior year, while values below 100 indicate decline. All markets use the first value reported by Carbon Arc for August 2026; any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement will not alter the outcome. The index is derived from Carbon Arc’s aggregated transaction panel, updated daily as new data becomes available. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (e.g., 99, 101.5, 104, 106.5, or 109), and resolves to 'Yes' only if the reported index exceeds that threshold. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with United Airlines or Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the United Airlines credit card spend market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2. It shows how traders price expectations for United Airlines' credit card spending figures for August, offering a visual snapshot of market sentiment and activity on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data from United Airlines for August, typically published in their monthly or quarterly reporting schedules.

Key signals include United Airlines' official earnings releases, updates on consumer credit spending trends, macroeconomic data affecting travel, and any major changes to the airline's credit card partner programs. Unexpected news such as a partnership announcement, regulatory shift, or widespread consumer behavior changes could also shift trader sentiment and move this market before it settles.